Week 11 Starts, Sits and Sleepers
Starts
Justin Fields @ ATL: Dude's been absolutely electric the last month or so. Atlanta's down their top two corners and can't stop the run. Justin Fields is going to do whatever he wants in this game, continuing his fantasy rampage. 4+ total touchdowns on deck again and over 300 total yards, should be a lot of points in this one.
Lamar Jackson vs. CAR: Something tells me this is going to be a statement game for Lamar and the Ravens. Coming off a bye week versus a bad team at home is a good recipe to get back into a rhythm. His ceiling really rises if Mark Andrews returns, but his success isn't dependent on it. 250 total yards and three scores isn't an unreasonable expectation.
Dalvin Cook vs. DAL: Dalvin Cook's really helped pace the Vikings over their last few. They'll need him more then ever against a tough Dallas defense. Opposing teams have succeeded in running against big D, a game plan Minnesota will likely try to employ as well. Throw in a few screens against an aggressive front seven and Dalvin should be looking at 16+ carries and a couple receptions. Should easily clear a hundo.
Brian Robinson @ HOU: Robinson's averaged just under 17 totes per contest over the last five weeks. He's facing far and away the worst run defense in the league, in a game where the Commanders could build an early lead and coast. Nice volume + presumed positive game script = fire him up. Predicting this'll be his first career game over the century mark.
Amon Ra St. Brown @ NYG: The Lions' top receiver is averaging ten targets a game since his return from a concussion. He should see at least that many in the Meadowlands against a Giants' secondary missing top safety Xavier McKinney. I see St. Brown snagging double digit catches and finding the end zone, like the over in this game.
Devonta Smith @ IND: Stephon Gilmore will likely square up with AJ Brown for majority of this one, opening up his counterpart Devonta Smith to run wild against a suspect Colts' defense. With no Dallas Goedert, expect Smith to absorb some safety blanket targets underneath as well as a usual deep shot or two. Big day ahead for the second year wideout.
George Kittle @ ARI: One catch for 21 yards a week ago was a bad look for Kittle fantasy owners. Luckily for them, he has a date with the Cardinals, who surrender the second most points to tight ends. San Francisco should dominate this game and their All-Pro tight end should be a big part of that. 6/80/2 on the horizon for George, you heard it here first.
Sits
Joe Burrow @ PIT: Divisional road game, no Ja'Marr Chase, TJ Watt is back in action. Not the brightest forecast for Joe Shiesty. Shouldn't be a lot of scoring in this one and Burrow won't clear twenty fantasy points.
Matthew Stafford @ NO: Back from a concussion on the road without Cooper Kupp-- tough look for Stafford. If he's been your main quarterback this season, chances are good you weren't thrilled with him prior to his top receiver's injury. With him now out, the Rams' outlook is even more bleak. There have to be better options on the waiver wires in your league...find one.
James Conner vs. SF: Kyler Murray seems unlikely to play, Deandre Hopkins is set to miss it as well. San Fran's defense is healthy and their offense is potent, setting up a terrible game script for Conner. He hasn't been running well regardless. Touchdown dependent if he wants to even hit double-digit points this week.
Josh Jacobs @ DEN: Jacobs made our sit list last week and was pretty alright, especially in PPR leagues. Much tougher sledding for him out in Denver, who should be able to trust their secondary against the subpar Derek Carr and stack the box. The Raiders RB1 will get plenty volume, but shouldn't have much room to run. Another week stuck in neutral for the Vegas offense.
Jakobi Meyers vs. NYJ: Sauce Gardner should be locking down the Pats impromptu WR1 all afternoon. I'd bet his ceiling is 4/45, especially with them likely to try and establish the run game.
Michael Pittman Jr vs. PHI: Is he going to see more of Darius Slay or James Bradberry? Regardless of the answer to that, it's not going to be an easy assignment for MPJ. Matt Ryan back under center is a big boost compared to Sam Ehlinger, but it shouldn't impact Pittman's final line too much. I think he'll be outperformed by Parris Campbell and another Indy pass catcher that we'll discuss below! Big effort to get JT going on the ground too.
Dawson Knox vs. CLE: As bad as Cleveland's been overall, they've actually locked down the tight end position well. Some injuries in their secondary will create some appealing matchups for Buffalo's talented receivers on the outside, leaving Knox to be the odd man out in the passing game. Tough day for the Bills' TE1.
Sleepers
Jared Goff @ NYG: His best receiver is back healthy and playing well, as Goff has for majority of this season. Tough road matchup, but I like the over in this game, which should translate to some points for Detroit's QB here. 220 yards and three scores doesn't sound crazy.
Tyler Allgeier vs. CHI: Cordarelle is back, but Atlanta has shown that they're still willing to spread the carries around the running back room. Chicago's run defense is bad, providing potential for some big plays on the ground. Allgeier looks explosive and should handle at least ten productive touches.
Kadarius Toney @ LAC: We saw flashes of what he can do in this offense against Jacksonville, and now with an extra week of practice in the offense he's primed to explode against a banged up Chargers secondary. I think Kadarius could sneak into the WR1 rankings this week honestly, big showing from him Sunday night.
Kylen Granson vs. PHI: This is the Colts pass catcher we were talking about above. He's already had three games this season with four catches, which is sadly strong for the fantasy tight end position. With Michael Pittman Jr. dealing with some elite corners on the outside, Granson should be a safety blanket for Matt Ryan underneath and over the middle. Six catches and a touchdown is in play for the second year player.
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@Choppinglines
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